Giuliani and Federalism…

25 July 2007 at 10:13 am | In Abortion, Constitution, Federalsim, Politics, Rudy Giuliani, pro-choice republican | Leave a Comment

It sounds like Giuliani might be the only viable candidate who has as streak of federalism running through his body.

Giuliani argues that the best way to reduce tension about social issues is to allow states, rather than the federal government, to take the lead in responding to them. That would allow socially conservative and liberal states to each set rules that reflect the prevailing values inside their borders. Rather than perpetual combat in Washington, he insists, the nation could reach a new equilibrium as different states gravitated to different solutions.

In an interview last week, Giuliani said the key to resolving cultural arguments “where our society on a national level ends up being very divided” is to apply the “principle of federalism.” Questions on topics such as gun control, gay rights or aspects of abortion, he continued, “are issues that I think the founding fathers would say should be consigned to state and local governments, experimenting, deciding, having different views, and the federal government having a more limited role.”

Maybe Giuliani might be end this “culture war” nonsense that has paralyzed our politics for four decades?

Federalism serves Giuliani’s political interests because it allows him to reconcile his generally moderate social views with his socially conservative party. But he’s also right that federalism can serve society’s interests by allowing “a lot of room for difference” in a diverse country.

Federalism isn’t a panacea. On regulatory issues such as global warming, both environmentalists (who want concerted national action) and business (which prefers consistent rules) often find it unsatisfactory. Nor is either side in the culture war likely to abandon its effort to impose its vision on the entire society.

But over time, federalism might drain some of the fervor from that fight by allowing both cultural conservatives and cosmopolitans to control the rules in their communities on these difficult issues — at the price of allowing the other side to do the same.

Personally I think federalism is the only way to end the culture war on the federal and state levels. If New York wants gun control and gay marriage, let them. If South Dakota wants restrictions on abortion and no gay marriage, let them.

Will a Giuliani nomination and victory bring the pro-choice Republicans out of the closet?

22 July 2007 at 11:23 am | In Abortion, College Republicans, Philosophy, Politics, Rudy Giuliani, pro-choice republican | Leave a Comment

This is a question I have been asking myself recently. From my perspective, I have always found a good number of Republicans who are probably pro-choice, but just pander to the pro-life crowd for political reasons. I am not much of a panderer usually, but I used to play nice to the pro-life cause even though my position on the issue is complex to say the least. Once I freed myself of my College Republicans obligations, I more or less thought out my views on the subject and realized I am more or less pro-choice even though I think the practice is a sign of lacking responsibility for ones actions.

Will a Giuliani nomination and victory lead to more pro-choice Republicans appearing all of a sudden? Probably for two reasons: First, those who have pandered to the pro-life cause because the belief its essential to victory will be liberated from that mentality. Instead they will be honest about their beliefs and advocate the position they support.

Second, more people who are more or less in favor of the Republican economic agenda, but against the social agenda, will start supporting Republicans more vocally. I know a lot of younger people fall into this category. We might be socially moderate (my case) or socially liberal (one of my closest friend’s case), but we agree with the Republican economic agenda because it appeals to our upper income or future upper income lifestyle more than the Democratic nanny state model.

A Giuliani victory would reconfigure the political balance in this nation from a cultural divide to a more economic divide as his staunch free market policies will appeal to the upper and middle classes.

Giuliani and Nixon?

18 July 2007 at 12:43 pm | In Cultural Decay, Politics, Rudy Giuliani, pro-choice republican | Leave a Comment

Michael Gerson has written a column describing the similarities between Giuliani and Nixon.

I agree with Gerson to a point. The analysis of Giuliani being a cultural warrior like Nixon is excellent. Nixon’s disdain for social degenerates and coupled with his social moderatism helped him win twice. If Giuliani continues his record of going after social degenerates, this will work well in the general because it will play well in areas like Pennsylvania, New Jersey, New York, California, etc… He might lose votes in the south for not being pro-life, but he will gain far more votes in the northeast for being their kind of culture warrior.

Rudy Giuliani has a good chance of winning in areas that have been losing Republican voters for years because he mixes elements that appeal to the middle and upper class in suburban and urban areas by being fiscally conservative, but a socially moderate culture warrior going after social degenerates.

The problem with Gerson’s analysis is how Giuliani might be a very practical politician, but he is definitely to the right of Nixon on fiscal issues. Based on his record in NYC, he might be the most free market candidate that has a serious shot in a long time.

Giuliani cruising in PA, leading in MI

11 July 2007 at 10:49 pm | In Politics, Rudy Giuliani, pro-choice republican | Leave a Comment

Strategic Vision has a new poll out tomorrow saying Rudy Giuliani would trounce his opponents if the Pennsylvania Republican Presidential Primary was held today. Also, he leads in Michigan in a closer race.

PA - Giuliani leads with 42%, followed by Thompson at 16%, McCain at 10% and Romney 6%.

MI – Giuliani leads with 20%, followed by Romney at 15%, McCain at 14% and Thompson at 14%.

Why did people view McCain as a viable candidate in the first place?

7 July 2007 at 12:07 pm | In John McCain, Politics, Rudy Giuliani, pro-choice republican | 1 Comment

I have been asking myself this question for nearly a year now. I still do not have a good answer to the question, but I have a few potential answers:

1) The media thought the base loved Bush. The base hates Bush and McCain tried to paint himself as Bush’s VP carrying the flag with the surge and immigration reform. Republicans have turned against the incompetent fool and McCain should just be Dick Cheney at this point.

2) People doubted Rudy Giuliani. I have never doubted Giuliani, but many wrote him off before the 2006 election. I was one of the few people who viewed him as a viable candidate with a good shot of winning.

3) McCain lost his mantle as the moderate. By tying himself to Bush and the surge, McCain pissed off the moderates. Giuliani also has squeezed him by being a moderate in the mold of many suburban Republicans – socially liberal, fiscally conservative. McCain is a populist and would never appeal to those votes unless he shed his opposition for abortion.

4) The media hyped the importance of social conservatives. The fact that Rudy Giuliani is still leading the national polls and most of the polls in the big states indicate how exaggerated the influence of the social conservative wing was by the media.

The big winner of McCain’s fall is Rudy Giuliani. Now he can consolidate the moderate/liberal Republican vote and go for the free market vote also because of his strong fiscal record. On top of this, he will have the tough guy mantle from NYC.

The benefit to Giuliani of some defectors…

11 June 2007 at 10:09 pm | In Politics, Rudy Giuliani, pro-choice republican | Leave a Comment

There has been talk of some social conservatives refusing to vote for Rudy Giuliani in a general election while he continues to have the support of more evangelicals than any other candidate.

Does the defection of some social conservatives to a third party hurt Giuliani? Probably not for a few reasons.

First, the appearance of a socially conservative party would help the Republicans differentiate themselves from Bush. A socially conservative party would be a natural continuation of the Bush social agenda on abortion, marriage, sex education, etc… This would allow Giuliani to run away from one of the most Bush like qualities: social conservatism. Giuliani would not be Bush’s likely heir then.

Second, a socially conservative candidate could possibly pull votes from socially conservative Democrats too. Based on the platform of right wing third party candidates in the past (the Constitution Party), they would likely be protectionists. Its plausible some socially conservative Democratic union households could fine this third party just as attractive as their socially conservative Republican counterparts.

Third, with the culture war debate not so polarized, economic and fiscal issues would like come to the forefront. This is where Giuliani can draw differences between himself and his Democratic opponent while distancing himself from the Bush administration. Its very plausible socially liberal rich people would used to vote Republican (aka the Blue-blood Republicans) would come back into the fold to vote for the guy who represents them the most ideologically.

Adding a third candidate would definitely make things interesting, but it is possible that it could help Giuliani as it would allow him to break from Bush in the eyes of the public and shift the debate to fiscal issues.

People realize Iowa is not important…

6 June 2007 at 10:34 pm | In Fred Thompson, Mitt Romney, Politics, Rudy Giuliani | 1 Comment

Rudy Giuliani, John McCain, and Fred Thompson have all realized that Iowa is not that important by skipping the Ames Straw Poll. Now the only major candidate at the Ames Straw Poll is Mitt Romney, who has already spent a considerable about of time and money organizing for it.

The question remains why does Iowa have the first say when it comes to Presidential nomination races?

Iowa is not a large state.

Iowa does not demographically represent the United States as a whole.

Iowa is a swing state, but when was the last time a Presidential election hung on Iowa.

Iowa is frozen during the time of the caucus.

Freeh and Giuliani

31 May 2007 at 9:05 pm | In Politics, Rudy Giuliani | Leave a Comment

Freeh and Giuliani

Is anyone really surprised that former FBI Director Louis Freeh endorsed Rudy Giuliani for President today? Freeh worked for Giuliani during the 1980s when they were fighting the mob in New York City and Freeh was FBI Director while Giuliani was busy cleaning up crime in NYC.

If anyone was wondering, Louis Freeh is the older brother of Hillsdale College English professor John Freeh.

On Fred Thompson…

30 May 2007 at 6:59 pm | In Fred Thompson, Rudy Giuliani | Leave a Comment

I definitely could vote for this guy. Right now its between Giuliani and Thompson for my vote. I might not agree with him on everything, but this guy is definitely the closest thing to a conservative straight shooter out there.

Here is a video of Fred Thompson talking about the issues…

Newt: Bush is worse than Carter

29 May 2007 at 10:02 pm | In Compassionate Conservatism, Cultural Decay, Philosophy, Politics, Rudy Giuliani, pro-choice republican | Leave a Comment

Newt Gingrich takes the Bush administration to school in an article in the New Yorker by comparing his incompetence to that of Jimmy Carter. Well I have to say the world is not as bad as it was under Carter, the incompetency of the Bush administration makes Carter’s look competent.

Carter and Bush both suffer from the same problem: They are both idealists blindly guided by their religious convictions. Carter believes everyone can live and peace and people are not evil. Bush believes its his crusade to set the world free and that it can be done. Both men are dangerously delusional.

Fundamentally, what the United States needs at the moment is someone who is competent and a realist. Not someone who governs with the love of the New Testament, but the realpolitik of Machiavelli and Hobbes. America’s problems cannot be solved by loving hugs and hoping people want to be free. We need someone who will show our enemies who is boss by restoring the fear of the Global Leviathan (the USA) and setting the American people free from the nanny state.

Newt also has a nice analysis of how Rove politics of religious warfare are bad for the Republican Party and America in general. Specifically he mentions an incident close to my heart – the Terri Schiavo saga. Remember in early 2005 I said this would be bad for the Republicans. Well Newt takes people to town for this one like I did over two years ago.

Next Page »

Blog at WordPress.com. | Theme: Pool by Borja Fernandez.
Entries and comments feeds.